CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2014-01-30T16:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2014-01-30T16:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/4539/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-02T23:18Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 2.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-02-02T12:00Z
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2014 Jan 30 2149 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A full halo CME was observed today. It was associated to the M6.6 flare that peaked at 16:11UT in NOAA 1967. During this event, most of the filament that was trailing the active region was ejected into space. The CME became first visible in SOHO/LASCO C2 difference imagery at 16:12UT and was a full halo by 17:24UT. It had a plane of sky speed of nearly 950 km/s (CACTUS). The bulk of the CME was directed away from Earth, but a glancing blow of the CME is expected. Preliminary calculations estimate the arrival of the CME around noon on 2 February. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 73.48 hour(s)
Difference: 11.30 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-01-30T21:49Z
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